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In recent years, India has embarked on an ambitious journey to transform itself into a global manufacturing hubThis initiative, led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, is encapsulated in the 'Make in India' campaign, which was launched back in 2014. The goal: to elevate India’s economic status by boosting its manufacturing capabilities in vital sectors such as automotive, electronics, pharmaceuticals, and aerospaceTo achieve this, the Indian government has introduced various incentives, notably the Production-Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme, designed to encourage both domestic and foreign companies to set up manufacturing bases in India.
The foundation for this manufacturing growth can be traced back to India's well-established reputation as a center for information technology and business process outsourcingHowever, the nation realized that to elevate its economic outlook significantly, it needed a shift towards manufacturing
Thus, with an eye on becoming a high-income economy by 2047, the Indian government aims to bolster its manufacturing sector to support local job creation and economic expansion.
Evidence of this transformation is manifest in the frenzy of investments pouring into the country, particularly from technology giantsA striking example of this shift is the Tata Group’s recent foray into iPhone production, a significant milestone in establishing a manufacturing foothold in IndiaThe company became the first Indian entity to manufacture iPhones following its acquisition of a factory previously owned by Taiwanese firm WistronAdditionally, another plant operated by Foxconn, located just 45 kilometers from the tech hub of Bangalore, is set to commence operations soon, with projections of producing around 20 million iPhones annually.
Prime Minister Modi recently stated that “We used to be importers of mobile phones; today, we stand as the second-largest mobile phone manufacturer.” It’s impressive to note that, as of now, one out of every seven iPhones sold globally is produced in India
The export boom in Apple products serves as a success story for the PLI scheme, which has disbursed significant funds—nearly ₹1.97 trillion, equivalent to approximately $24 billion—to support this initiative across various industries.
Foxconn’s commitment to India is emblematic of the broader trend among foreign manufacturersWith over 30 factories across the country and employing around 400,000 workers, the Taiwanese company epitomizes how international players are eager to establish a presence in the Indian marketAlongside Foxconn, other homegrown companies like Dixon Technologies have transitioned from manufacturing small consumer electronics to producing smartphones for export markets, marking a significant shift in production capabilities.
Additionally, India’s pharmaceuticals and automotive sectors have firmly established themselvesThe strategic shift by multinational corporations towards a 'China Plus One' strategy has encouraged investment diversifications to mitigate risks that come with over-reliance on a single market
Significant investments in manufacturing plants have been announced by companies like Kia, which opened a facility in Anantapur, just beyond 200 kilometers from Bangalore, and Maruti Suzuki, which pledged $4.2 billion to build a new factory in India.
As noted by Kapadia, the founder and CEO of India Index, “We are witnessing significant growth in India’s manufacturing sector.” Accelerations in infrastructure development, such as a sixfold increase in highway construction over the past two decades and a 40% rise in the speed of freight trains, have greatly improved connectivity, positioning India in a far more competitive landscape compared to the manufacturing start in 2013.
Kapadia further elaborated on India’s ambitious plans to allocate $1.3 trillion for infrastructure development between 2021 and 2046, a move expected to further stimulate growth in the manufacturing sector
The encompassing optimism revolves around the vast potential for India to capture market shares from China across diverse industriesA recent study showed that 61% of U.Sexecutives prefer India over China for manufacturing if both can produce similar products, highlighting the shifting sentiments among global businesses.
Statistical evidence of India’s booming manufacturing sector scenario is compellingOver the last decade, India’s GDP has outpaced China’s growth in over half of those yearsIn the last four years, India averaged a robust annual growth rate of 7.9%, a stark contrast to China’s 5.3%. More dramatically, when comparing 2023 to pre-pandemic 2019, India's nominal GDP growth surged by an impressive 43.5%, significantly outperforming China's 27.3% growth during the same period.
However, India’s journey towards becoming a global manufacturing powerhouse is fraught with challenges, especially from various emerging markets such as Indonesia, Vietnam, Bangladesh, and Mexico
These countries have also been ramping up their manufacturing capabilities, each boasting its unique advantagesFor instance, Indonesia capitalizes on the production of nickel and battery materials, while Vietnam thrives in broadcasting equipment and machinerySimilarly, Bangladesh dominates textile manufacturing, and Mexico has an edge in automotive and aerospace due to its proximity to the United States.
While these competitors present hurdles, they don’t immediately pose an existential threat to IndiaEach nation's competitive strengths render them formidable, but concerns loom regarding investment environments and potential returnsShould the investment landscape in countries like Mexico or Southeast Asia experience significant improvements, there exists a risk of capital flow toward those more favorable markets.
Despite the intense competition, India possesses unique attributes
Its relatively low labor costs and the potential of a vast domestic market can drive manufacturing growth to meet both export demands and local consumption needsThe ongoing rivalry from Southeast Asia and Mexico has started to affect India's foreign direct investment (FDI) levels, now at a five-year lowData from the World Bank reveals that while India surpassed China in FDI-to-GDP ratios since 2016, it has consistently trailed behind Brazil during the same period.
If current trends continue, experts predict that the share of manufacturing in India’s GDP will rise modestly from around 14% in the fiscal year 2023 to an anticipated 21% by 2034. These figures highlight the essential reality: despite the undeniably positive trajectory of India’s manufacturing sector, the nation is still a considerable distance from replicating China’s scale, diversity, and competitiveness
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