Semiconductor Equipment Growth Outlook for H2

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In the rapidly evolving landscape of the semiconductor industry, China has firmly established itself as a powerhouse, leading the globe in the investment and manufacturing of semiconductor equipmentWithin the first half of this year alone, China’s expenditure on chip manufacturing tools soared to an unprecedented $25 billionThis spending not only marks a significant increase but also serves as a crucial barometer for future market demand and the overall health of the semiconductor sectorAnalysts predict that this trend will continue, with total annual investments expected to reach an astounding $50 billion as China ramps up its efforts in constructing new chip fabs and acquiring necessary equipment.

What’s remarkable is that amid this surge in semiconductor equipment procurement, domestic Chinese companies are reaping considerable benefitsReports from several prominent chip equipment manufacturers reveal that they have maintained revenue growth rates exceeding 30%, demonstrating the robust demand for locally produced technology and capabilities.

Well-established domestic equipment suppliers like North Huachuang, Zhongwei, and Tuojing have reported their mid-year performances, showcasing impressive results

North Huachuang led the pack with a staggering revenue growth of 42.2%, followed closely by Zhongwei at 41.4%, and Tuojing at 32.2%. Despite some fluctuations in growth rates during the first quarter, the second quarter indicates a strong rebound in performance across the board, signaling recovery and increased market confidence.

Even though Zhongwei experienced a significant 49% decrease in revenue from its MOCVD equipment in the first half of the year, their plasma etching tools saw a remarkable 56.7% increase, underlining the company’s resilience and competitiveness in core technology domainsThis showcases their ability to innovate and adapt even in challenging circumstances.

Investment in research and development remains a top priority for these companies, with North Huachuang allocating 10.5%, Zhongwei investing 16.5%, and Tuojing committing an impressive 24.8% of their revenues to R&D

Zhongwei, in particular, reported a staggering 110.8% increase in R&D expenditures, emphasizing its commitment to advancing technology and innovation—crucial elements for companies in a product expansion phaseAs new products begin to ramp up production, forecasts suggest that profit margins will see an upswing.

Thanks to their substantial R&D investments, these enterprises have made notable stridesIn the sphere of integrated circuit core equipment, North Huachuang has successfully developed high-density plasma chemical vapor deposition (HDPCVD), dual-damascene CCP etching machines, and atomic layer deposition (ALD) systems, among others, all boasting independent intellectual property rights and achieving stable mass production for various clients.

Zhongwei has also channeled its resources into developing and validating key etching equipment for advanced chip manufacturing processes

They have had success in deploying several types of devices for critical etching processes in logic and memory chip production, achieving production capabilities that maintain over a 60:1 aspect ratio on their self-developed Primo UD-RIE systemMoreover, several ICP devices have progressed smoothly through verification for advanced logic chips and are now winning significant orders from clients.

Tuojing’s product lines of PECVD, ALD, SACVD, HDPCVD, and filling CVD devices are now deployed successfully in industrial applications, expanding capacity and performance to internationally competitive standardsThey have also ingeniously developed a smart hardware and software system, enhancing equipment setup and debugging efficiency while increasing overall product competitiveness.

According to the latest financial disclosures from major global semiconductor equipment firms, North Huachuang has climbed to the seventh position worldwide, a testament to its growing significance in the global market.

Chinese equipment manufacturers have consistently focused on innovation, diversifying across the machinery and critical component sectors within the semiconductor landscape

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This includes investments in ion implantation, etching, inspection technology, and essential consumables.

Recent reports from the State Power Investment Corporation indicate that its subsidiary, the Nuclear Power Innovation Center in Wuxi, has delivered its first optimized hydrogen ion implantation chips, laying the foundation for domestic production capabilities in semiconductor ion implantation technology and processesHydrogen ion implantation plays a vital role in the manufacturing of various semiconductor products, including integrated circuits and power semiconductors.

In less than three years, the Nuclear Power Innovation Center has overcome several critical technological barriers, achieving 100% independent technology and equipment localization while establishing China’s first research and development platform that intersects nuclear technology applications and semiconductors.

Furthermore, Suzhou Xihang Semiconductor Technology, backed by Tianzhun Technology, has declared the completion of internal verification for its TB1500 wafer defect inspection equipment aimed at the 40nm technology node

This state-of-the-art device features independently developed critical components and advanced signal processing algorithms, effectively enhancing signal-to-noise ratio and sensitivity for defect detection.

As the world’s largest semiconductor market, China is witnessing a revival fueled by domestic innovation and self-relianceThe latest market reports suggest that the semiconductor manufacturing industry is set for a continuation of growth, driven by strong demand across various sectors, particularly in light of advancements in technology like artificial intelligence.

The Semiconductor Equipment and Materials International (SEMI) noted that the global semiconductor industry shows signs of recovery, with significant sales growth and stable capital expendituresIn August, SEMI’s report with TechInsights highlighted a remarkable 27% year-on-year growth in integrated circuit sales, predicting further growth to 29% in the third quarter, positioning the semiconductor sector for record sales beyond those seen in 2021.

As we advance into 2024, end manufacturers and supply chain entities are actively working on inventory reductions while the demand for chips fueled by AI continues to rise, coupled with a resurgence in traditional consumer electronics sales

This melting pot of innovation and revitalization points toward a promising horizon for the semiconductor industry, signaling a robust recovery phase.

The outlook for the semiconductor device sector remains brightWithin the first half of the year, the industry saw revenues soar to approximately $43.5 billion, reflecting a 38.45% rise year-on-year, while net profits climbed 11.95%. Many public companies have echoed a sentiment of optimism about the gradual industrial resurgence and are keen to capitalize on the growth opportunities presented by this rebound.

According to projections, domestic semiconductor equipment demands are expected to exceed a 20% growth rate in 2024, with the global semiconductor equipment market anticipated to reach a historical high of $109 billionThis could escalate further in 2025, highlighting a resilient and thriving sector that is not just rebounding but also reshaping itself with a focus on independence and innovation.

China’s semiconductor market, fueled by domestic breakthroughs in critical technology, places it on a trajectory for sustained growth and elevated stature within the global semiconductor community.

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